نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 دکترای آینده پژوهی، دانشگاه عالی دفاع ملی(نویسنده مسئول) saeedsoltaninasab@gmail.com
2 دانشیار، هیئت علمی دانشگاه امام حسین(ع)
چکیده
کلیدواژهها
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
It has been more than four decades that the study of the economy of culture and art in developed countries has been given serious attention, and during that time, an increasing amount of literature has been formed about the economic dimensions of cultural and artistic activities and works in developed countries, and its discussions in universities. Various issues are discussed. In this research, by using one of the most important methods of foresight, that is, scenario writing, the possible futures of the cultural industries of the Islamic Republic of Iran in the framework of the resistance economy have been addressed to the foundations of the development of internal power to realize the endogenous and exogenous economy. oriented through the quantitative and qualitative development of cultural industries. For this purpose, with a field study of the theoretical aspects of the research and using the opinions of 32 researchers, 47 main categories counted from the literature of the cultural industries of J.A. The use of experts' opinions on this subject was examined during two expert panels. By using the scenario writing method, four scenarios were obtained by determining "key uncertainties", which are: The first scenario (seagull), the second scenario (mud-eating chicken), the third scenario (stranded whale) and the fourth scenario (dolphin in a cage). At the end, the proposed solutions of the experts were presented to realize the desired perspective of each scenario.
کلیدواژهها [English]